Apple's wealth by the numbers. Amazing infographic. http://t.co/G7HefM2a ~ docuguy

Spitting into the Future

road-10It’s been said that the future will be much like the present, only longer.  But knowing the future would change your life. If you knew the exact location of your death you might avoid that place and buy a few more years.  (“No, I can’t go to the Teacups ride at Disneyland ever again and I can’t tell you why.”)

A time machine is one option, and there are instructions for building one to be found on the web. In fact, experts like Dr. J. Richard Gott of Princeton University say that we already know how to travel into the future. All you have to do is travel really fast. “If you accelerated to 99.995 percent the speed of light five hundred light years away and then come back at the same speed, the Earth will be a thousand years older, but you’ve only aged 10 years,” says the doctor. Easy enough.

Richard Branson is working on a spaceship for space tourists – maybe I’ll hitch a ride with him.  The price of a ticket is only $200,000.

There’s a cheaper way to know the future and it involves popping a little bit of your spit in the mail. That’s right – you send in $399 along with a spit sample to a company called 23andMe. They analyze your DNA and tell you your genetic predisposition to certain diseases. You’d know whether you’re at risk for breast cancer or prostate cancer, Type 2 Diabetes, Crohn’s Disease, Parkinson’s, Restless Legs Syndrome, Macular Degeneration — 118 diseases in all.  You might even find out some fun stuff from your past, like the guy you call Dad is not really your father.

Oh, the folks at 23andMe could make a mistake.  Genetic testing is not infallible. You can get false positives. Genetic testing is also not a death sentence. Just because you have a predisposition to a disease doesn’t mean you’ll get it. Diet, lifestyle, environment – lots of factors to consider.  Since scientists are still learning more about DNA the results of your test could be re-interpreted at a later date.  bob-6

(“Honey, great news – the doctor said I should eat more deep-fried Twinkies!”)  The 23andMe folks even have a sense of humor about it all, with a blog titled The Spittoon, and a blog subtitle of “more than you’ve come to expectorate.”

I’m laughing, until I start thinking.  What if everyone did this?  Who gets access? Insurance companies could check out your pre-existing conditions even before they existed and find new ways to deny you coverage. Marriages would end before they started. Schools could deny scholarships because they wouldn’t want to waste money on you.  (“But Van Gogh died at 37!  I have plenty of time to paint a masterpiece.”)

watch2-122801Not knowing the future might, paradoxically, give us more power over what’s next in our lives. I think I’d rather take my chances with destiny’s roulette wheel.

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4 Comments on “Spitting into the Future”

  1. 1: Bob Ellal said at 3:59 am on October 30th, 2009:

    Lee,

    Interesting post, as usual. Recently on Intent.com, Deepak Chopra talked about “changing our past” by the actions we take in the present. Quantum physics, the role of the observer–all that sort of thing. I pointed out it would be great if we could somehow change Hitler’s rise, avoiding the tens of millions who died in the Holocaust and WWII. Again, we’d need a practical time machine. I told him he wasn’t being practical (he never answers comments). I understand from the promotion on the site that in his new books he tells how to “change our genes;” no doubt through 20 minutes of TM a day and keeping insipid smiles on our faces.

    Bob

  2. 2: Lee Schneider said at 10:44 am on October 30th, 2009:

    Thanks for commenting as always, Bob. I’ve been reading about the research of Dr. Bruce Lipton, who has researched muscular dystrophy and has worked on finding a link between mind consciousness and cellular consciousness. His work gets into genetics with more credibility (and certainly more experience) than Deepak. There’s also Dr. Candace Pert – a bit more pop culture but nevertheless exploring interesting areas. There’s a “woo-woo” feeling about all this mind-genetics stuff and the connection can seem slim at times but then again, these folks might be on to something.

  3. 3: Jeff Schneider said at 11:31 am on October 30th, 2009:

    I enjoyed this one a lot. Thanks.
    There’s even more applications for DNA analysis in development that are interesting, both in terms of what value they can bring, and the hazards and privacy issues they raise. One example is human identification through a DNA sample, like a fingerprint. Fingerprints are actually fairly inexact – about 1 in 100 identifications are incorrect. DNA is accurate to something like 1 in a billion. It sure would change those cases where we send the wrong guys to prison if routinely used like fingerprints. But… should the government be allowed to take a DNA sample? Should a database be kept? Is it an invasion of privacy? What if you could prove a person was at a specific location from a sample take from a water bottle they threw in the trash? It’s a fascinating subject.

    P.S. when you get that time machine working let me know. There’s a few things I’d like to go back and fix. :-)

  4. 4: Lee Schneider said at 9:58 pm on November 23rd, 2009:

    Below, a comment from a writer at the Huffington Post named Michael Rugnetta. He also writes the Science Progress blog.

    Lee,
    It’s great that you bring up 23andMe today since the GINA law goes into full effect today for employers. The insurance company parts of the law went into effect in May but the regulations are still being worked out. I have a post at Science Progress on Genetic Testing 101 (http://www.scienceprogress.org/2009/11/genetic-testing-101/).